Folks- Hope every one is super charged for another week ahead of us. The markets of late can be considered to be treacherous with a lack of direction by many. However, it is the regimes like this that offer most learning opportunity as well active sessions for active traders.
"In some other news.. I had shared O income REIT about a few days ago at 54-55 and we see good action in this , floating up to 58 dollars."
This is what is most irritating about TicToc. Why lie blatantly for a newsletter of your caliber? O was shared on 10/16 and the lowest it traded was 56.16 on 10/17. This just confuses me and I imagine others because what is your cost basis? If you somehow have it down there (up over 5%) and we have it at the actual price (up less than 2%)...do we consider holding or selling some? (NOT an actualy question, just thoughts that run through someone's head in that situation) That is if people waited for you LiS to come into play (it still didn't, bottoming just above your 56 higher end). Most of the time, you are buying right away and observing the LiS as a stop more or less.
Tic i’ve dm’ed multiple times and again now, not sure if im muted. Could you please add me to orderflowpro. im a founding member for over a month now. my twitter is @_Rajneesh. Thanks. Wish you a very happy Diwali.
Great weekly commentary, I really appreciate your thoughtful overview of the macro issues, such as inflation. Being right or wrong on daily levels is no easy task, but the macro conversation helps me form my own view of the market moves. Keep up the excellent work!
“If we focus only on being right and making money, I think it wont work or atleast it will be very hard. Therefore the focus must shift to strategy development and finding that elusive edge. Rest will take care of itself.”
Save this, take a picture, write it in diary, get a tattoo of it. This is why there is only 1 tic
I’m trying to imaging how SPX trades 3950 unless $aapl earnings are at least mildly positive.
Endemic 4-5% inflation is likely; you are correct on this. May take a decade or longer for some deflationary forces such as new energy sources to take hold. Deglobalization (weaning off of China made products!) also will prop up mild inflation for some time.
Having normal interest rates and normal bond yields is going to reset the VC/Private Equity investing landscape. No more infinite multiples on companies that do generate net income. Pensions/endowments will have to adjust to lower returns.
Helo mr tic still good to hold amazon ??
Ddy!
Thanks for the work you do behind these letters, and particularly thank you for the nuggets of insight and wisdom you share.
Signed,
An aspiring full time trader
Tic’s upside target 3830 is still resistance .. onh of 3813
"In some other news.. I had shared O income REIT about a few days ago at 54-55 and we see good action in this , floating up to 58 dollars."
This is what is most irritating about TicToc. Why lie blatantly for a newsletter of your caliber? O was shared on 10/16 and the lowest it traded was 56.16 on 10/17. This just confuses me and I imagine others because what is your cost basis? If you somehow have it down there (up over 5%) and we have it at the actual price (up less than 2%)...do we consider holding or selling some? (NOT an actualy question, just thoughts that run through someone's head in that situation) That is if people waited for you LiS to come into play (it still didn't, bottoming just above your 56 higher end). Most of the time, you are buying right away and observing the LiS as a stop more or less.
Did you mean 3800 3810 in scenario 1?
What's RTH?
Thank you for NQ level Tic 👍🏻
These call outs are fire Tic ... great write up this week. And the risk on risk off events are BIG. Thank you for the BIG picture
Tic i’ve dm’ed multiple times and again now, not sure if im muted. Could you please add me to orderflowpro. im a founding member for over a month now. my twitter is @_Rajneesh. Thanks. Wish you a very happy Diwali.
Only 1 tic the contrarian. Good luck traders.
We haven't felt the war between the central banks/politicians yet. I think we might hear 4-5% as new inflation norm instead of 2-3%.
I hope I don't get fucked this week tic! Lets rock
Great weekly commentary, I really appreciate your thoughtful overview of the macro issues, such as inflation. Being right or wrong on daily levels is no easy task, but the macro conversation helps me form my own view of the market moves. Keep up the excellent work!
“If we focus only on being right and making money, I think it wont work or atleast it will be very hard. Therefore the focus must shift to strategy development and finding that elusive edge. Rest will take care of itself.”
Save this, take a picture, write it in diary, get a tattoo of it. This is why there is only 1 tic
I’m trying to imaging how SPX trades 3950 unless $aapl earnings are at least mildly positive.
Endemic 4-5% inflation is likely; you are correct on this. May take a decade or longer for some deflationary forces such as new energy sources to take hold. Deglobalization (weaning off of China made products!) also will prop up mild inflation for some time.
Having normal interest rates and normal bond yields is going to reset the VC/Private Equity investing landscape. No more infinite multiples on companies that do generate net income. Pensions/endowments will have to adjust to lower returns.
Tic 🔑
Hope all is well with you
Appreciate the great breakdown especially on the macro side